Tuesday, September 30, 2014

What actually happend in HONG KONG ?

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Photographer: Lam Yik Fei/Bloomberg


What Actually Happened in Hong Kong?
In fact, the Hong Kong citizen is trying to seek open election in 2017 as their Chief Executive is not from public election but the right to choose remain to the 1200 committee          

What is all about this 1200 committee?  
The official name of this 1200 is the Election Committee, and the Standing Committee has decided to let them become a nomination committee to vote for Chief Executive. First, Hong Kong has more than 3.5 million voters but those who can directly participate in the election committee is less than 240,000. 

The composition of the Election Committee is uneven. For example, there is only 30 people represent on behalf the Commission of the education sector, with education of voters registered in a total of 81,831 people. There are 60 members represents Commission of agriculture and fisheries sector. As Hong Kong is a modern city,only four thousand people in agriculture and fisheries-related work, but the Agriculture and Fisheries representatives of industry, but even more than double the education sector. What even worse is that, those 60 representatives are not qualified to vote, only government-approved 158 "voters" can exercise the voting right. 

Latest Progress as per today!

65 Years of Communism and Hong Kong
Pro-democracy protests swelled in Hong Kong on the eve of a two-day holiday that may bring record numbers to rallies spreading throughout the city as organizers pressed demands for free elections.
With the workday ended and temperatures dropping, thousands of people were returning to the three main demonstration points, blocking some of the city’s roadways. Hong Kong marks China’s National Day tomorrow, the 65th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China and Chung Yeung Festival on Thursday, when Hong Kong people honor their ancestors.
“It’s quite possible that at least more than 100,000, if not up to 300,000, 400,000 people, will join in the protest in a show of people’s power,” Willy Lam, adjunct professor at Chinese University of Hong Kong, said in an interview today. “They want to convince the Hong Kong government and Beijing that any use of force will be counter-productive. It will only galvanize more of the rest of Hong Kong’s 7 million people.”
The movement, kick-started by students on Sept. 26, swelled following weekend clashes with riot police who used tear gas to disperse crowds. Student leaders said today that the protests would spread if their demands aren’t met for Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying to resign and for the government in Beijing to drop plans to control the 2017 leadership election.

The government has pulled anti-riot police off the streets with officers standing off to avoid the clashes of Sept. 28 that angered demonstrators. The benchmark Hang Seng Index dipped again, marking its biggest two-day decline since February.

Roads Blocked

Roads leading into the Admiralty district, where protesters have surrounded the government headquarters, continued to be blocked with workers commuting by foot and metro. Crowds this evening are also gathering at the popular shopping districts of Causeway Bay and Mong Kok.
“This movement is to achieve universal suffrage and get the National People’s Congress to take back their decision,” Alex Chow, one of the student leaders, said at a press conference today. “Yet we see that CY Leung doesn’t seem to be communicating with the top and with the people and he doesn’t understand what democracy is. So to achieve democracy, we must start with asking Leung to step down.”
When asked at a press conference today whether he would resign, Leung said that “any personnel changes” would result in the existing election committee choosing his successor, rather than through a vote.
Long Day
At the briefing, Leung dismissed speculation that the People’s Liberation Army, which was used to crush the 1989 Tiananmen Square demonstrations, would be used in Hong Kong. He also said that the city was preparing for the protests to last.
“The impact from Occupy Central would not be just three to five days -- it could be quite long,” Leung said, citing the protesters’ road blocks, medical aid centers and supply stations.
The students called for Leung to respond to their demands by tomorrow. Leung is due to mark the founding of modern China at an 8 a.m. ceremony near where the main protests are being held. The popular firework show over Victoria Harbour for the holiday has been canceled.
The demonstrations coincide with Golden Week, a week-long holiday in China when hundreds of thousands of people from the mainland travel to Hong Kong. Some retailers are closing outlets, with Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd., the world’s largest jewelry chain, shutting about 20 shops today, after keeping more than 25 closed yesterday.
Property Prices
The real estate market is also feeling the effects of the protests. Apartment viewings dropped 50 percent because of the unrest, Centaline Property Agency Ltd, the biggest privately held realtor in Hong Kong, said in an e-mail. Prices may show a decline if the rallies last more than a week, the broker said.
The protests -- spurred by China’s decision last month that candidates for the 2017 leadership election must be vetted by a committee -- pose the biggest challenge to China’s control of the city since British colonial rule ended in 1997.
At the time, the Chinese government pledged to maintain the city’s freedoms under its “one country, two systems” approach. China had endorsed the idea of holding elections in Hong Kong as far back as 1990 with the adoption of the city’s basic law, a type of constitution. As China’s influence has grown within the Hong Kong government, pro-democracy activists stepped up their fight for a open election when the city holds its first vote for chief executive in 2017.
The clashes with police this week were the city’s biggest since unrest in the 1960s led by pro-Communist groups inspired by Mao ZeDong’s Cultural Revolution. Police arrested 89 people during the weekend demonstrations, a spokesman said.
Foreign Support
The U.S. government supports the aspirations of the Hong Kong people for universal suffrage and called on the authorities to exercise restraint, said White House spokesman Jose Earnest.
U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron's government said it was important for Hong Kong to preserve rights and freedoms for its people, including the right to demonstrate, according to an e-mailed statement from the Foreign Office. Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou, whose government fled after losing China’s civil war, said he supports the Hong Kong people’s pursuit of democracy.
Hong Kong is part of China, and foreign governments should not interfere with its internal affairs, Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua ChunYing said yesterday.
Source from :http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-29/hong-kong-protestors-block-roads-as-leader-sets-deadline.html

MARCO's preparation done ? Ready to move to 30 sen ?



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No after action Talk !!! this is real time trading learning and education place for you to pick up technical analysis ... cut the motherhood story short...
Marco is under wave 4 consolidation mode, which is ended by contracting triangle abcde.... the preparation should end at any time, which is ready to take off to the final destiny.


What is my action and trade plan
I bought this stock at 21 sen and will adding more position on tomorrow.
SL : Will not public here as smart money hunt for stop loss( join ours Kakao Group)
TP : ( join ours Kakao Group)
How to join Kakao group : register Free members ship at the bottom of this blog

DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.

Monday, September 29, 2014

Rainbow Loom, another Malayisian's story at Overseas



Rainbow Loom was created by Cheong Choon Ng, a Malaysian immigrant of Chinese descent who came to the United States in 1991 to attend Wichita State University because Malaysia practises a system of racial quotas for university placements, with preference given to the Bumiputera community that is largely Malay.where he earned a graduate degree in mechanical engineering
He was employed as a crash-test engineer for Nissan Motor Company in 2010 .
He conceived the idea of a toy loom for rubber-band crafting after seeing his young daughters make rubber-band bracelet. He tried to show them how they can link the rubber bands together but was unsuccessful, so he stuck a scrapboard with multiple rows of pushpins on which the bands can be linked more easily.
The bracelets became popular with the neighborhood children, and his daughter suggested that he sell them. He spent six months developing the loom kit and designed 28 different versions. His prototype, which he called Twistz Bandz, used a wooden board, pushpins, and dental hooks. He invested $10,000 and found a factory in China to manufacture the parts, which he and his wife assembled in their home in June 2011.
Ng renamed his product after discovering an elastic hair band on the market named Twist Band. His brother and niece came up with the name Rainbow Loom.
He then attempted to convince toy stores in Michigan to stock the bands, but found no success for months as people simply did not “understand how they worked”. Ng started a website and filmed instructional videos featuring his daughters and niece.
In summer 2012, Ng received his first store orders from franchises of Learning Express Toys, a specialty crafts chain, and sales picked up.In June 2013 arts and crafts retail chain Michaels test-marketed the product in 32 stores; by August the chain was carrying Rainbow Loom in its 1,100 U.S. locations.
Rainbow Loom is also sold at Mastermind in Canada and in specialty stores.
As of August 2013, 600 retailers were selling Rainbow Loom at a retail price of $15 to $17. The kits are manufactured in China, and Ng supervises distribution out of a 7,500 square feet (700 m2) warehouse near his home.
In 2013, Ng worked with The Beadery and Toner Plastics to produce the Wonder Loom, a redesigned version of the Rainbow Loom that is made in the United States. The Wonder Loom is sold by Wal-Mart. In April 2014, a travel-sized version of the Rainbow Loom was released called the Monster Tail.Ng’s “Rainbow Loom” went on to register over US$40 million in sales last year, a figure he expects to double this year.

Sunday, September 28, 2014

Guidelines to buy your first house !

House or unit? For first home buyers the decision often comes down to price. Property buying through applying loan is seemed as the only way to acquire the first house for city dweller with moderate income. Like most developing countries, Malaysia has gone through tremendous changes in policies. These policies, though targeted at property speculators, are also affecting genuine home buyers. Bank Negara said it would continue to closely monitor lending to lower-income households, noting that families earning below RM3,000 a month had higher leverage positions than those in other income groups and hence, would be more vulnerable to income shocks.




Breakdown of My First Home Scheme
Why is it perfect for first-time home buyers?
• A loan tailored for first-time home buyers, it provides 100% financing so no need for 10% down payment. Plus, home buyers pay normal interest rates of the respective banks.
Who Is Eligible?
• Malaysian citizens
• First time home-buyers
• Individuals or couples (husband & wife or siblings) up to age 35 years
• Private sector employees only (including couples)
• Income not exceeding RM5,000/month for individuals or combined income of RM10,000/month for couples (based on gross maximum income of RM5,000/month per individual)
• Individuals/couples with minimum employment of over 6 months with same employer
• Repayment of total financial obligation must not be more than 60% of the net monthly income or maximum financing limit of the participating bank, whichever is lower
Eligible Property
• Residential properties in Malaysia
• Minimum property value of RM100,000 and maximum of RM400,000
• Completed properties or those under development
• The home must be occupied by buyer and not for investment purposes
• For leasehold properties, with a minimum of 60 years remaining
Financing Requirements
• Tenure for repayment not exceeding 40 years, subject to borrower's age not exceeding 65 years at the end of financing tenure
• Amortizing facility only (no redraw features)
• Installments payable via monthly salary deduction of standing instruction
• Compulsory Fire Insurance/Takaful
Participating Banks
Affin Bank
Alliance Bank
Alliance Islamic Bank
AmBank
AmIslamic Bank
Bank Islam
Bank Muamalat
CIMB Bank
CIMB Islamic
Hong Leong Bank
Hong Leong Islamic Bank
Maybank
Maybank Islamic
OCBC Bank
OCBC Al-Amin
Public Bank
Public Islamic Bank
RHB Bank
RHB Islamic Bank
Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered Saadiq
UOB Bank
(Information taken from Skim Rumah Pertamaku website- www.srp.com.my)
*Good To Know
First-time buyers should take note that they need to pay for a booking fee or deposit out of their pockets initially, pending disbursement of the home financing by the bank, based on the requirements of the seller.

KSSC was take off !!! it is heading to 0.85 ?



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In weekly trend KSSC was boosted by 400,673 lots volume and manage to break 5 months long consolidation at the resistance level 0.695 and close with 0.720

let move on to the Elliot wave count on weekly trend, it was on wave 5 uptrend which was just ended with wave 4 Flag consolidation, As an Elliot wave  trader we one have always aim to trader impulse wave with confirmation of correction wave ended,

We move on to daily chart, we can see blue color front wave count, it is on wave 4 ended with ABC correction wave( pls go to 1 hrs chart), I am anticipate it will break 0.745 and heading to 0.785 to completed wave 5 count.
what will be next move after the touch 0.785? base on the wave count show it should have retracement happen and pull back to 0.720. if this happen and it offer me second opportunity to buy again on this price level, which is on red color wave 4 consolidation which I belived it will close about 0.745 to end the wave 4 correction and prepare for the next move
The last push for the wave 5 count I am anticipate it will touch 0.825 to 0.90.


Bottom line.... My trade Plan as below
Enter point : NOW
SL : Join us in Kakao group (free education service)
Profit taking : Join us in Kakao group (free education service)

DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.

8 Tips For Picking Apartment ? Condo?

After years of escalating, the residential market saw a slowdown this year.This is due to cooling measures such as increase in real property gains tax (RPGT), removal of developer's interest bearing schme (DIBS) implemented by goverment effective January, tightening of lending condition to get a mortgage loan from bank and the rising of Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) rate in July which cause correlation impacts to BLR rate. However, Many of us still looking to own your first house especially apartment or condo, because it seems to be more affordable to us.




How do you pick a High-Rise Unit?? Propery Consultants give some pointers.

EXAMINE TRACK RECORD OF DEVELOPER
If you are buying a property that will only be completed a few years later, a lot of trust hinges on the developer to deliver the products that is promised. Hence, it pays to check out the background and reputation of the developer. Aside from basic research on the online property and forums and website, talk to real estate agents, property valuers or even mortgage specialist in banks, who can access to more info.

LOOK AT THE QUALITY OF THE MATERIAL USED
Apart from good location, how well the building is constructed will determine its future capital appreciation and future demand from buyers. Datuk Seri Gavin Tee, a property consultant with Swhengtee International Sdn Bhd says it us important to look at the quality of the materials, not just the price. The quality of the building becomes more important than the location. Once it's completed, people will scrutinise it to determine its secondary market value. Developers in the luxury segment trend to be very specific about kind of products that is used and many even provide samples in their show units.

LOCATION
Location is a paramount when it comes to property. Getting a well-located property doesn't merely mean easy accessibility with ample amenities, but also other factors such as the security level of the development and its surrounding neighbourhood. There are mature and non-mature area. Properties in mature areas are mostly selling at a higher price, as buyers can immediately enjoy the conveniences such as workplace, educational institutions, shopping centers and entertainment outlets. Non-mature areas refers to the new townships, which are far from existing conveniences. However, these new townships plan and niche housing designs, spacious layouts, wider serviced roads, landscaping and a properly new set-ups could actual offset the premium property price that is paid in the mature area if the whole development is carried out well over the long run.

CHOOSE ACCORDING TO YOUR PURPOSE
There could be a difference when it comes to selecting high-rise properties for one's own occupation and as an investment. If you are buying for residential purposes, you may want to buy a development in which a majority of the owners are owner-occupiers. In this case it is recommended to look for development with more 50% owner-occupiers. For investors, look at the popularity of rental units in the area based on the supply and also the number of rental units.The availability of units in the are can provide an indicator of how good rental demand and rates. Certain area shave limited supply of rental units, with not many choices. This would therefore guarantee a higher occupancy rate. Investor would benefit from buying smaller-sized units and those catering to those catering to the student population. Investor might want to look out for smaller apartments with built-up areas of less than 1,000 sq ft. Student apartments located within one to two kilometres of colleges and universities are also ideal for rental.

PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS
The physical characteristics of the unit itself are just as important as location, especially if the property has been completed. The overall project and product features must be examined closely. The entrance , design of the building, floor layout, number of units per floor, specifications and number of car parks. In the unit itself, observe the quality and existence of fixtures and fittings such as wardrobes, shower screens, air-conditioners, hot water system, kitchen cabinets and appliances. Try to avoid a property that is in close proximity  to a quarry site ( dusty and noisy), transmission lines, a cemetery, factories and highways. While you may not mind it, it may still affect the price of the property when you sell it in the future. When you view the property, go during working hours because some negative features such as noise in a quarry site may only be observed during those times.

EXAMINE HOW WELL THE DEVELOPMENT IS MANAGED
A development that is well managed will sustain the property's current and future value. Prospective buyers should take a walk through the development to get a good look at and feel of the surroundings, the amenities and facilities, and how well maintained they are. The general rule is, the more facilities there are, the higher the monthly maintenance fee. For luxury to high-end projects, the price is usually 50 sen psf, while the mid-range condos, it is 25-30 sen psf. Besides that, buyer should check the ratio of owner occupiers versus investor as well as the general occupancy rate, as this may affect the collection of service charges. Usually, if these is a higher percentage of investors and speculators, the collection may may not be good.The same goes if there are a lot of vacancies. If there is big proportion of investors and if they don't take an active role in the management of the condo, some parties could run riot with the funds. To find out, you have to go there and talk to people. A well-run management committee not only ensures that the maintenance is carried out accordingly, but ensures that residents pay on time. Prospective buyers may try to obtain information on the management's outstanding balance of service charge and sinking fund accounts. The service charges are collected on monthly for general maintenance such as landscaping and pest control while the sinking fund account is reserved for capital expenditures such as repainting the wall once every five years and changing mechanical and electrical equipment. These accounts are sometimes displayed at the notice board in the common area, particularly by the better managed ones. Some management committees also put up a list of those yet to pay their outstanding service charges. For example, if they put up a 'shame list'of those who haven't paid their service charges, then you know why they are doing their job well. If there is a long list of people who have not paid and facilities are not well maintained, then you know whether that situation is acceptable to you or not. Prospective buyers should obtain a copy of the management's house rules if possible. Their house rules will list down the dos and don'ts of living in the property. If you have a good management corporation or a joint management committee, they would come up with very detailed house rules.

CHECK THE NUMBER OF CAR PARK BAYS
While most developments standard practice is to offer two bays per unit, there are others that may not. Hence, it is important that prospective buyers check their sales and purchase agreement if they are buying directly from the developer. When you sign the agreement, make sure it states that these two bays bear the lot parcel numbers are listed as accessory parcels with your unit. When you sell your unit, the two bays go with you. There are some developers who may sign one agreement for the unit and the sell the car park unit separately.

BE PREPARED TO FORK OUT MORE FOR RESIDENCES ON COMMERCIAL LAND
If your residence is built on commercial land, be prepared to pay more in bills compared with those built on residential land. For example, Serviced apartments are built on commercial land, so things such as quit rent, assessment rate and utilities will be higher. Besides that, considerations should be taken to see whether projects is governed by the Housing Developers Act 1966. Before signing the sale and purchase agreement, buyers should check whether the development comes under the HDA. This would affect the progress payments, as stated in Schedules G & H of HDA. This means that commercial property buyers could be charged earlier than expected and at a higher tiered rate than those who live on residential land. In addition, for those who are applying for loans on commercial properties may have to pay a higher down payment, as the loan margins offered by banks for this type of property is 80%.

source from : personal money magazine March 2014




Thursday, September 25, 2014

Bull Rally Just Started on ECONBHD !!!

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The Board of Directors of Econpile Holdings Berhad ("Econpile" or "the Company") is pleased to announce that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Econpile (M) Sdn. Bhd. ("EMSB") has on 25 September 2014, received a Letter of Award dated 24 September 2014 from Cipta Klasik (M) Sdn. Bhd. to undertake earthworks, bored piling, contiguous bored pile and basement substructure works of a service apartment residential property development project at Lot 218 and Lot 256, Seksyen 63, Lorong Stonor, Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan (the "Contract").
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1749193

Looking at the daily chart right after IPO, ECONBHD start to formed a very clear Elliot wave formation, which is consist of 5 wave up and 3 wave down(correction wave), the correction wave which is formed by double Zig Zag, I name is as a WXY, rather than abcXabc. I just it is very good start for those who like to trade Elliot Wave.
By looking at the daily chart, I believed many trader may have a question how to recognized those correction and impulse wave count, let we zoom down to second level of detail, which is using 1 hr chart to do the wave count
 You can see the largest wave 2(black front) was ended with double ZZ, which is WXY and the internal structure of this wave have abcXabc. Right after the correction wave ended. the wave 3(big black color front) was began with extended wave 3, because it consist more than 1 impulse wave. I love to trade this type of impulse wave... by looking at the H1 chart it clearly show the correction wave ended with the expanded FLAT, and office BEST OPTIMUM entry point.

Bottom line.... My trade Plan as below
Enter point : NOW
SL : Join us in Kakao group (free education service)
Profit taking : Join us in Kakao group (free education service)

DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.





Tuesday, September 23, 2014

NIHSIN is on Wave 5th !!! Correction is just around the corner ?


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This pattern is defined as a Trend pattern, in which the wave 3 is extended, it is the most probable trend  to occurs, very often wave 1 is equal to wave 5 in prices and time,

For picking a top this is an important alert, the more patterns of different wave degrees show 5 waves that are completing, the higher the probability that a major reversal is just around the corner.
This is an early warning so prices could still rise further if the patterns 5 extend.

I am anticipate the major resistance is at 0.52 to 0.54 and correction will reach 0.338

DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.

Thursday, September 18, 2014

SKPRES !!! It good time to go long ?


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For those who like to trade chart pattern !!! now is the time for us to learn. I don't like to spend much time to talk Loooooooooooooooooooong motherhood story!!! let to go the bottom line

My action : Long now
TP : Refer to the free members update (kakao Group)
SL:  Refer to the free members update (kakao Group)
Normally I don't like to put it here... market maker can push the stock all the way down and kill all the retail and than only start to push the stock up...anyway this is for learning purpose (In Forex market we had software call hidden stop loss EA to hide outr SL, not allow dealing desk to hunt our SL)

Elliot wave is wave 4 consolation end

















Chat pattern : Acceding triangle, likely contracting triangle




















DISCLAIMER:

Stock recommendations and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education and information purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

GST theme. Goodway is it worth to invest ?





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This signal applies to med and long term investors for price moves of possibly 30% or more, since Primary(Purpose color), Intermediate(green) and Minor Wave degrees are all up. The most certain price target is the target of the Minor wave degree, which is in wave 3, at 0.630 or percentage wise 7.9744%. Normally also the target of the next wave degree could be reached at 0.65, which is in wave 3.

My Action      : I go buy, because observe have 5 consecutive wave 3 degrees uptrend
Type signal     : BREAK OUT, conservative
Conservative Target :0.65
2nd Target  :0.68
Long term :0.70, 0.72, 0.82 and 0.89
Late Exit Alert  :0.4500
Earlier Exit Alert  :0.5500
Risk to reward Ratio >1



DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

KLSE Index Ready to go 1966 ?

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Elliot wave is really need to spend time to study and most of the time many trader is confused and not able to do a good job and did a wrong wave counting... included me as well. as a trader and I am perfectly fine with the loss trade but I can't accept with the trade with the "gambling" mindset on it !!!  if you not clear about the direction or wave count... stay away from the market temporary. why I said so... ?  if you can't clearly define the trend and still unclear the market direction... but commit the contract without any plan ,,, to me is it is gambling rather than a real business...


Let go to the bottom line... KLSE index.. looking at the chart below and we can see the pattern is defined as a TREND in which wave 3 is extended, it is most probable trend as a now and very often wave 1 is equal to wave 5 in trend and time when 3rd wave is extended.


we can see the wave 2 seem to be ended with the WXY, but the wave Y seem to be have internal wave structure and I am anticipate it will retrace back to 1857 and will form another stroke down to 1820... it should see an bullish divergent ... I will commit a trade go long at 1820 after see an bullish candle stick form. the up wave target will be 1966... sound like crazy to commit a trade to go long !!!??? anyway I will give an weekly update about the KLSE Index...
The graph below could be second scenario, it will direct down to 1820 than go to 1966... anyway I am stay bullish on KLSE Index


 come back to our blog daily to check out what we had and I assure you all the information we share is real time and not after reality talk !!!


DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.

Sunday, September 14, 2014

PRTASCO: Short Term trend is ready to go up to 1:96 or higher...?

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PRTASCO
source http://protasco.listedcompany.com/news.html/id/398858


Market sentiment and trading strategy.
Given the market sentiment is part of the trading consideration. KLSE is moving toward risk aversion mode... USD and MY currency was hike, commodity is drop and stock also started reversal down...all this is sign of market run out of stem.
Most of the traders now getting caution and stay at the side line and watching the market situation and some still is actively involved in KLSE like me.
in order to make profit and yet able to mitigate risk in loss of capital, one of the strategy frequently used by short term trader is look for correction and with reasonable and technical stop lost...
I had spot a counter which most likely ending short term down trend, which will give me about 10% to 15% upside growth...
Either long, Med or short term trade.. every trade I make to commit my money in have to be screen through Main, Med and short term trend.

Main Trend 
Pls look at the main trend, it is from 2003 till to date, basically we can see the wave count is kind of like a 3, 4 or 5 or W,X,Y, don't too hang up with it as long as we can see the overall big trend and we are in good shape. on the other hand, it also give us a hint when is the med trend we should look in to it.

Med Trend let zoom down to med term trend started on 2009 till to date, we can see the wave 4 is under development and may or may not ended. but I can capture the message base on the wave 4 correction is the existing price drop is correction and most likely wave 5 up trend will come soon. I am looking for the buy opportunity either is rebound or wave 5 start... 

Short Term or entry level
Let Zoom down to short term trend which is started on 24th/Jun/2014 till todate...we can see that is a down trend started with Wave 1,2,3,4 and 5 ended with double bottom and supported by bullish divergence and 200 MA. it show the wave A is confirmed wave B now is ending soon... 

                                                                                                                                          

Below is my trade plan
Buy prices from Rm 1.70 to 1.76
1st Target is 1.95
2nd target is 2.03
3rd target is 2.10
Stop loss is 2 candle close below 1.65


Fundamental Analysis for PRTASCO Group

source http://protasco.listedcompany.com/news.html/id/398858





Source from http://www.malaysiastock.biz/Corporate-Infomation.aspx?type=A&value=P&securityCode=5070



DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.




Friday, September 12, 2014

KPS: What is next move after correction we anticipated ?

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Source : http://www.kinibiz.com/story/corporate/44823/putrajaya-selangor-compromise-talks.html

We anticipated KPS will have correction on last Friday !!! Every movement of this stock happen according to the forecast we make. The technical analysis and justification we make on last Thursday which allow us to make such high precise prediction and forecast mainly were come from few points

  1. Main trend was meet the neckline trend-line and horizontal trend- line.
  2. Med term wave 3 was under development
  3. Short term trend line is on wave 5 decouple with the bearish divergent 
  4. Elliot wave formation rule such as wave 2 formation is complex and wave 4 is simple and so on...
Last week posting : http://klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com/2014/09/kps-small-correction-is-just-aroung.html

The past is become history and it is an important reference for us to move forward... as a trader and investor we are consciously looking forward what will be happen next by looking at the indicator, pattern and so and so on...? here I would share my opinion base on my past experiment and no intention to ask and advise anyone to buy,sell or hold the stock I mention...

1st step is always look at the big picture where are we now ?  by Elliot wave count KPS is on 
Wave 5-3-3-5 ? Again !!! the last wave is same as last week, which is wave 5 on correction wave ! Correction is just around the corner AGAIN ? I don't know whether is coincident or what ? it seem to be like the cycle and time is relative match ...you should have the answer :-) 

Regard to the question we raise just now ... will have correction on 12/9/2012 or bull ran ? I anticipating it will go to hit 1.96 and "may" retrace back rm 1.88  or will have another white solder candle up till 2.08 and 2,20... this could be happen on Friday or next week. all the forecast or technical verdict we make is base on 
1st that is a good sign is head and should neck line been broken and prices stay above the horizontal neck line
2nd Although the smaller wave degree is on wave 5, but I do observe an wave extend signal.
3rd MACD and volume seem to be support the med term wave 3 under development.
The only draw back is Friday and 2 to 3 days off for Bursa !!! anything can happen !!!

I will hold this  KPS and Keep on eye of this stock... I am anticipate the next move in on Friday or Next week to hit 2.08 and 2.20 or higher...

DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.






  

Monday, September 8, 2014

GUOCO under institutional investors radar screen !!!

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Technical Analysis
IN Big Picture GUOCO land is under institutional investors radar screen and I am not caught in surprise this stock been purchased by them ... I am look at the macro level the wave  starts with the Cycle wave degree followed by the primary and Intermediate wave degree... it very important to look at the overall big trend for the stock before I am committed to zoom down further in.
Pls look at the chart below,  the small chart is the major trend for GUOCO, basically it indicate this stock have many wave degree pointing to north. I zoom in to the recent uptrend which is Dec'2013 till today, basically you can see it is an extension 3/C.

This pattern has been define as a trend pattern in which wave 3 is extended, it is the most probable trend pattern to occur, very often the wave 1 length is equal to wave 4 in time and prices.
Current status:
Most probable wave 4 is ended at the fibo 23.8%, base on my observation wave 4 is ending in between Fibo 23.8 to 38.2%, if wave 4 is ended at 23.8%,  we should see a fast acceleration to go north soon.

Let zoom it down to H1 chart, the downtrend channel line been broken and now the prices is sit above the line, the short term downtrend been invalidate, sideways or wave 5 uptrend is should under developing now. 


Fundamental Analysis from Kenanga.

War chest of landbanks. 
The group has a remaining total landbank of c.9,300 ac, of which 51% is in Sepang, 41% in Jasin, Melaka, 6% in Rawang and balance are niche parcels, which are mostly located in prime areas in Klang Valley (e.g. KLCC, Gombak, Sg Buloh, etc). This under researched group’s landbank size is not too far behind UEMS of c.12,000 ac and more than IJMLAND’s c.6,000 ac while its landbanks are mostly located in Klang Valley. We think that Guocoland’s current market cap of RM1.2b is unjustified when compared to IJMLAND’s RM5.2b and UEMS’s RM9.4b. Notably, the bulk of its landbank was acquired in the 1990s and early 2000, which would imply low land cost. Recently, the group also increased its stake in one of their JCE which owns 3,869 ac of landbank in Jasin, Melaka (refer overleaf).

3-year pipeline GDV of RM2.5b,
 which was recently highlighted in The Edge, comprising: (i) landed residential project at Emerald @ Rawang project, (ii) township development at Pantai Sepang Putra @ Sepang, (iii) high-end landed residential at Alam Damai @ Cheras, (iv) 28 factory units at PJ City Commercial Hub, and (v) portions of Damansara City. Positively, it appears that a substantial amount of projects are geared towards landed residentials or industrials, which should fare well in terms of sales.

Damansara City (GDV: RM2.5b) will benefit from upcoming MRT station.
The project is located next to Pusat Damansara and directly fronts the upcoming MRT station. The group is in the midst of selling its DC Residency. We also do not discount Guocoland selling its completed offices via en bloc sales or securing JV investors. Note that the group also has a 21.7% stake in Tower REIT that invests in offices, and is the manager of the REIT; this could be an avenue for asset realization as well. (Refer overleaf).

Under heat from UMA query. Last week, Bursa issued a UMA query. Guocoland’s share price had shot up 50% within a 5-day trading period with heavy daily trading volumes. The company has reverted to Bursa stating they are unaware of any reasons for such strong price performance. Based on our analysis of previous the stock movements which have experienced UMA this year, we gather that from the date of UMA, the quantum of correction is between 11% to 18% and the correction period will last 16 – 50 days before bottoming out.

Projecting FY14E and FY15E core profits of RM49.3m (+43% YoY) and RM65.6m (+33% YoY). 9M14 core earnings grew by 47% YoY to RM40.9m driven mainly by margin expansions from its property divisions. Our FY14 estimates are based on annualized 9M14 figures. FY15 should be driven by stronger property sales of RM640m from PJ City, DC Residency, Emerald and its Sepang project (refer overleaf).

An under-researched counter. The stock has a very volatile 3-year historical PER range of 11x-138x (average: 30x) while its PBV range is 0.7x-1.3x (average: 0.9x). We believe there is a mismatch in terms of the company’s asset value and their speed of RNAV realization. However, in view of better earnings prospects via unlocking of landbanks in the near future, we expect its PERs to narrow the gap with its peers.

An RNAV play. Primarily, our RNAV is driven by revaluation on its landbank, investment property and inventory value to market prices. Only DC’s project is valued based on DCF of its future profits. Thus, our valuations are conservative as we are opting for land-driven RNAVs rather than assuming full development value of each landbanks. We derive an RNAV of RM5.89 and assume a steep 50% discount (higher than our average discount applied on developers of 31%) to derive a TP of RM2.95. We recommend that investors buy on weakness as we strongly believe that Guocoland is severely undervalued. Trading BUY.
Source: Kenanga

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kenangaresearch/57218.jsp
http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/staticfile/244437.jsp

My trading partner research:
 GuocoLand (Malaysia) Bhd has an established presence of over 50 years in property development, management and investment in Malaysia. The company is also part of the Singapore-based GuocoLand Ltd. The multi-award winning GuocoLand is a leading regional property plater with established operations in China, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam.

GuocoLand Malaysia's property project include the Emerald master planned township in Rawang and prime residential and commercial developments in Klang valley. These include Commerce One, PJ City Corporate Hub and the soon to be launched Damansara City.

GuocoLand Malaysia is also active in property investment via Tower Real Estate Investment Trust (Tower REIT) and has in its portfolio high quality and yield-accretive office buildings (Menara HLA, Menara ING and HP Towers) in KL. It also owns Thistle Johor Bahru and Thistle Port Dickson Resort.

GuocoLand vision is to create a prominent and sustainable property group in Malaysia. Guocoland's landbank totals 10,000 acres comprising 5,000 in Sepang, 4,000 in Jasin, Melaka and pockets of land in the Klang Valley.

The RM2.5 billion GDV Damansara City is scheduled to be fully completed by mid-2016, ahead of the mass rapid transit (MRT) Sungai Buloh-Semantan line which is set to be operational before the end of 2016. This flagship development at Damansara City, is being sold at RM1,600 per square foot and comprises 370 units of one to four bedrooms contemporary design homes as well a penthouse.

All the current GuocoLand's developments which encompasses a shopping mall, will provide a substantial recurring income base for the company.

GUOCO 5 Years Revenue & Profit Trend


Recent company activities:
Massive hiring to cope recent development projects
High profit but flat dividend paid over the years, what's next?

Rumors:

Guocoland's landbank are all undervalue.

My trading plan as below
Buy at 1.82
1st TP : 2,00
2nd TP :2:20
Med Term : 2.80
Long Tern : 4.20

Stop Loss : 2 candle close below 1:75 early 
Stop Loss : 2 candle close Below 1:35 late

DISCLAIMER:

Stock analysis and comments presented on klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com are solely for education purpose only. They do not represent the opinions of klseelwavetrading.blogspot.com on whether to buy, sell or hold shares of a particular stock.
Investors should be cautious about any and all stock recommendations and should consider the source of any advice on stock selection. Various factors, including personal or corporate ownership, may influence or factor into an expert's stock analysis or opinion.
All investors are advised to conduct their own independent research into individual stocks before making a purchase decision. In addition, investors are advised that past stock performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation.